Brexit Deal

GeoffCapes

Member
Messages
14,000
Just to clarify @Zep, as a Remainer, you want me to list the down side of remaining in the EU.
If I were a leaver you'd want me to list the downsides of leaving?

With my Remainer hat on the downsides as I see it are as follows:-

Fishing rights. We have a smaller and smaller fleet and all the large foreign fleets over fish our waters. Leave and we protect our fishing industry, and waters.
See @Wattie I can do it! :p

After that I am seriously struggling.
 

MaserCoupe

Member
Messages
564
With my remainer hat on, the downsides are we can’t strike our own free trade deals.
Leave and we can eventually strike our own trade deals with the rest of the world..

Oooohhhhh how very exciting Zep.

Try it Wattie it’s really liberating :D:D. When you can flex in the wind like a tree & compromise...........

However I’m struggling with a lot of questions too after that.
 
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Zep

Moderator
Messages
9,288
Just to clarify @Zep, as a Remainer, you want me to list the down side of remaining in the EU.
If I were a leaver you'd want me to list the downsides of leaving?

With my Remainer hat on the downsides as I see it are as follows:-

Fishing rights. We have a smaller and smaller fleet and all the large foreign fleets over fish our waters. Leave and we protect our fishing industry, and waters.
See @Wattie I can do it! :p

After that I am seriously struggling.

You’ve got it. Walk a mile in the other (wo)man’s shoes. Might help to foster some good will (no laughing at the back).
 

MaserCoupe

Member
Messages
564
So leaving could pave the way for Cod Wars Part 2, The Troubles Part 2 and Tariff Wars Part 2......
I think you’re on to something Wanderer. If you step out of the Brexit Bubble and look at it from a climate change perspective, the earths’ diminishing food supply, resources, farming and the impact on water supply, habitable and non habitable areas of the globe, human migration to a more stable environment, it makes a lot of sense to have some form of regulation, fishing quotas, accords and environmental protections. And what do people and countries usually fight over? Energy, Oil, money, land, resources, religion........
 

Wattie

Member
Messages
8,640
Despite 206 pages of discussion here and much more on FB and face to face, I've still not heard one good reason for leaving the EU.

Control of our borders? We have that now.

Sovereignty? We still have that now.

Own trade agreements? Ok, but outside the EU they'll be substantially worse for sure.

Anyone care to correct me with one tangible point that will make the whole thing worth it?
Sure, when the Euro collapses (and it will) it would be sensible for our economy to have far less closer ties to Europe and more free trading agreements with the rest of the world to insulate us against the economic consequences of such.

Now, are you gonna tell me that the Euro is just fine.....
 

Wattie

Member
Messages
8,640
As Geoff says, we need to break this back down to the various issues, decide which we are willing to give a bit on and then try to work from their.

For a bit of fun, let’s take each of the issues in turn and list the pros and cons.

BUT

- If you would prefer to remain in the EU you can only list the downsides of the issue

- If you want to leave the EU you can only list the benefits to the U.K. on that issue.

This will only work as a useful exercise if we take it seriously. So.

Free Movement

To me the downsides to the UK of this are:

To some degree there may be a reduction in jobs available to U.K. residents.

In areas where non-local people work in seasonal business (fruit / veg picking / sports direct etc) there has been an increased demand for services such as the NHS which impacts residents.

I’m not going to count shady people coming into the country because we are not in schengen so we have border controls and so that, to me is an enforcement issue.

Can anyone else on the remain side think of any more?

Who from the Leave side wants to list the benefits?
Ok Zep Here are the benefits of remaining from a leavers perspective.

No initial economic impact on either side ......held back for a rainy day.

Apparantly, shared “security” data will continue with the Eu. This will be In addition to the excellent Us data we already recieve on WMD's. Thus our island and its borders will remain safe whilst enabling us to pick wars with far weaker countries that have oil. Resulting migrants from those future wars will maintain the benefits of council houses upon arrival to the UK. So win win.

Ireland will not have an excuse go to war with itself. Eu fishermen will continue to be forbidden from catching 'red herring' in Irish waters.

Geoff will not have a lorry car park outside his front door with migrants escaping from it and knocking on his door to go to the loo,

We get to join the European army when it’s formed. Our military vehicles with their forward gears compliment the reverse bias of Eu ones.

We get to continue to watch Farage in the Eu Parliament encourage others that remaining is a great idea.

We accept all future Eu laws that come out so will be party to the new “automatic speed limiting cars” in 2022. Ie far safer roads

We don’t fight Spain over Gibraltar ( unless Mays deal accepted)

Our fishermen will remain as happy as they are now, Irish red herring will still be on the menu and we don’t fight France over fishing rights ( unless Mays deal accepted)

We don’t bail out Greece (unless Mays deal is accepted)

The Pound should increase in value making foreign goods cheaper.

No foreign visas required for foreign visits.

We will continue to accept our migrant quota enabling lazy Brits to continue to avoid doing low paid jobs they dont want to fill.

“Remaining” shows that democracy is alive and well in Europe and not fiddled as previously suspected.

We can continue to enforce regime change and export democracy around the world with the moral high ground.

We can attend Junckers leaving do as presumably we’ll get an invitation where we’ll be able to “have some cake and eat it”

We will all be spared from the “special place in h3ll “ previously reserved for us.

Our vote prospects at the Eurovision Song Contest will improve dramatically

The Uk political scene remains unchanged-current Mp's rewarded for the excellent job they are doing. New rules will mean future majority votes will be subject to overrule by the minority/ Mp's if it suits. Status quo secure for generations.

SMDRP will cease to exist and the forum will be spared my drivel.

We get to continue to pay billions in levies to the Eu for the all of the above benefits.

Not a bad attempt on behalf of SMUPPITS
 
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Zep

Moderator
Messages
9,288
Ok Zep Here are the benefits of remaining.

No initial economic impact......held back for a rainy day.
Apparantly, shared “security” data.
Our fishermen will remain as happy as they are now.
Ireland will not go to war with itself.
Geoff will not have a lorry car park outside his front door with migrants escaping from it and knocking on his door to go to the loo,
We get to join the European army when it’s formed.
We get to watch Farage take them on in the Eu Parliament and encourage others that remaining is a great idea.
We take all the Eu laws that come out so will be party to the new “automatic speed limiting cars” in 2022.
We don’t fight Spain over Gibraltar ( unless Mays deal accepted)
We don’t fight France over fishing rights ( unless Mays deal accepted)
We don’t bail out Greece (unless Mays deal is accepted)
The Pound should increase in value making foreign goods cheaper.
No foreign visas required for foreign visits.
We will continue to presumably accept our migrant quota.
“Remaining” shows that democracy is alive and well in Europe and not fiddled as previously suspected.
We can attend Junckers leaving do as presumably we’ll get an invitation where we’ll be able to “have some cake and eat it”
We all all be spared from the “special place in h3ll “ previously reserved for us.
SMDRP will cease to exist and the forum will be spared my drivel.
We get to continue to pay billions in levies for the above benefits.

A decent attempt.


Sent from my iPad

Your effort is appreciated, it’s definitely a start.

What I was hoping for was some direct responses. For example, I said how free movement has impacted on parts of the U.K, with your imaginary Remainer’s hat on, what are the benefits? Geoff has mentioned Fisheries policy and it’s negative impact, but are there benefits? MaserCoupe talked about not doing our own trade deals, but what are the benefits of being part of EU trade deals and the EEA?

Personally I’m not too bothered about lorry drivers using Geoff’s toilet, but you have certainly channeled his feelings :p
 

Wattie

Member
Messages
8,640
Your effort is appreciated, it’s definitely opened my eyes to the costs of remaining against the perceived benefits.

I was hoping for a far less pursuasive list. For example, I said how free movement has impacted on parts of the U.K, whilst forgetting the benefits for lazy brits. Geoff has mentioned Fisheries policy and it’s negative impact, but totally forgot about the red herring issue. MaserCoupe talked about not doing our own trade deals, but what are the benefits of being part of EU trade deals and the EEA other than eliminating a car park outside Geoff’s house

Personally I’m not too bothered about lorry drivers using Geoff’s toilet, but you have certainly channeled his feelings :p
I thought I’d leave the interpretation of my excellent “remain benefits” subheadings for each leaver to envisage the “costs” for themselves. And of course to provide enlightenment (a bright star in the sky if you like) for SMUPPITS to re-evaluate.

Kinda like a “ private personal remain cost/ benefit” analysis.

For all!

Good to see empathy on both sides regarding Geoff’s kazi.
 
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JonW

Member
Messages
3,262
Ok Zep Here are the benefits of remaining from a leavers perspective.

No initial economic impact on either side ......held back for a rainy day.

Apparantly, shared “security” data will continue with the Eu. This will be In addition to the excellent Us data we already recieve on WMD's. Thus our island and its borders will remain safe whilst enabling us to pick wars with far weaker countries that have oil. Resulting migrants from those future wars will maintain the benefits of council houses upon arrival to the UK. So win win.

Ireland will not have an excuse go to war with itself. Eu fishermen will continue to be forbidden from catching 'red herring' in Irish waters.

Geoff will not have a lorry car park outside his front door with migrants escaping from it and knocking on his door to go to the loo,

We get to join the European army when it’s formed. Our military vehicles with their forward gears compliment the reverse bias of Eu ones.

We get to continue to watch Farage in the Eu Parliament encourage others that remaining is a great idea.

We accept all future Eu laws that come out so will be party to the new “automatic speed limiting cars” in 2022. Ie far safer roads

We don’t fight Spain over Gibraltar ( unless Mays deal accepted)

Our fishermen will remain as happy as they are now, Irish red herring will still be on the menu and we don’t fight France over fishing rights ( unless Mays deal accepted)

We don’t bail out Greece (unless Mays deal is accepted)

The Pound should increase in value making foreign goods cheaper.

No foreign visas required for foreign visits.

We will continue to accept our migrant quota enabling lazy Brits to continue to avoid doing low paid jobs they dont want to fill.

“Remaining” shows that democracy is alive and well in Europe and not fiddled as previously suspected.

We can continue to enforce regime change and export democracy around the world with the moral high ground.

We can attend Junckers leaving do as presumably we’ll get an invitation where we’ll be able to “have some cake and eat it”

We will all be spared from the “special place in h3ll “ previously reserved for us.

Our vote prospects at the Eurovision Song Contest will improve dramatically

The Uk political scene remains unchanged-current Mp's rewarded for the excellent job they are doing. New rules will mean future majority votes will be subject to overrule by the minority/ Mp's if it suits. Status quo secure for generations.

SMDRP will cease to exist and the forum will be spared my drivel.

We get to continue to pay billions in levies to the Eu for the all of the above benefits.

Not a bad attempt on behalf of SMUPPITS

Am feeling grumpy this morning.

Not sure this response is really in the spirit that Zep was suggesting. I personally would welcome a sensible discussion, without any ******** or rhetoric about what people think are the pro’s and con’s. However, I’m tired of hearing half facts and overly emotive interpretations presented as irrefutable facts...

The only sentence above that get’s my attention and my vote for remaining is:

SMDRP will cease to exist and the forum will be spared my drivel.
 

Wattie

Member
Messages
8,640
Am feeling grumpy this morning.

Not sure this response is really in the spirit that Zep was suggesting. I personally would welcome a sensible discussion, without any **** or rhetoric about what people think are the pro’s and con’s. However, I’m tired of hearing half facts and overly emotive interpretations presented as irrefutable facts...

The only sentence above that get’s my attention and my vote for remaining is:

SMDRP will cease to exist and the forum will be spared my drivel.
What? Hours of effort wasted.multiple reasons.
Multiple remainers unable to think of anything.
Apologies for adding to your grumpiness......but SMDRP ain’t going anywhere. Fact.
 
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MarkMas

Chief pedant
Messages
8,948
.....
For a bit of fun, let’s take each of the issues in turn and list the pros and cons.
.....
Free Movement

To me the downsides to the UK of this are:........

I think this is potentially a good exercise, and I wish someone responsible had done this about three years ago!

But (at risk of going off on a tangent) I think one of the areas where the whole debate failed was this focus on 'up/downsides to the UK'. Most of my arguments on the EU issue have always been rooted some sort of absolute (and abstract) 'right thing to do', not just narrow UK self interest. And I think the Remain campaign made a big mistake by essentially campaigning on 'you will be worse off'. The best argument for Remain, to me (notably promoted by Eddie Izzard) was that "The EU is a bit cråp, and probably a bit bad for the UK on balance, but it is good for Europe in general, and so it is our duty to join in and make it work a bit better." (See School Governors thread - it's a pain in the donkey, but a valuable service.)

So on 'Free Movement', I think it is immoral and unwise to have free movement of labour across the EU, even though I think it is largely beneficial to the UK, as it has negative effects on Eastern Europe:
  • it denudes those countries of many of their best people (many confident, energetic and skilled people come to work in the West)
  • it is parasitical on the education and training investment of those countries, which pay (for example) to train nurses, and then lose them
  • it allows some Western European industries to stay based in the West, importing labour from the East, rather than locating their production in the low-wage areas
  • it distorts the Eastern economies and societies, making them heavily dependent on remittances (or cash-rich returners), due to people working in the West
 

GeoffCapes

Member
Messages
14,000
Ok Zep Here are the benefits of remaining from a leavers perspective.

No initial economic impact on either side ......held back for a rainy day.

Apparantly, shared “security” data will continue with the Eu. This will be In addition to the excellent Us data we already recieve on WMD's. Thus our island and its borders will remain safe whilst enabling us to pick wars with far weaker countries that have oil. Resulting migrants from those future wars will maintain the benefits of council houses upon arrival to the UK. So win win.

Ireland will not have an excuse go to war with itself. Eu fishermen will continue to be forbidden from catching 'red herring' in Irish waters.

Geoff will not have a lorry car park outside his front door with migrants escaping from it and knocking on his door to go to the loo,

We get to join the European army when it’s formed. Our military vehicles with their forward gears compliment the reverse bias of Eu ones.

We get to continue to watch Farage in the Eu Parliament encourage others that remaining is a great idea.

We accept all future Eu laws that come out so will be party to the new “automatic speed limiting cars” in 2022. Ie far safer roads

We don’t fight Spain over Gibraltar ( unless Mays deal accepted)

Our fishermen will remain as happy as they are now, Irish red herring will still be on the menu and we don’t fight France over fishing rights ( unless Mays deal accepted)

We don’t bail out Greece (unless Mays deal is accepted)

The Pound should increase in value making foreign goods cheaper.

No foreign visas required for foreign visits.

We will continue to accept our migrant quota enabling lazy Brits to continue to avoid doing low paid jobs they dont want to fill.

“Remaining” shows that democracy is alive and well in Europe and not fiddled as previously suspected.

We can continue to enforce regime change and export democracy around the world with the moral high ground.

We can attend Junckers leaving do as presumably we’ll get an invitation where we’ll be able to “have some cake and eat it”

We will all be spared from the “special place in h3ll “ previously reserved for us.

Our vote prospects at the Eurovision Song Contest will improve dramatically

The Uk political scene remains unchanged-current Mp's rewarded for the excellent job they are doing. New rules will mean future majority votes will be subject to overrule by the minority/ Mp's if it suits. Status quo secure for generations.

SMDRP will cease to exist and the forum will be spared my drivel.

We get to continue to pay billions in levies to the Eu for the all of the above benefits.

Not a bad attempt on behalf of SMUPPITS

You're not really getting into the swing of things are you Wattie?

Try again, but without the sarcasm. I know you can do it if you try!
 

2b1ask1

Special case
Messages
20,279