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Froddy

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1,072
Ok thanks. I’ve set up a bullionvault account but am just dabbling.... I find it really interesting as a barometer of economic confidence. Emphasis on dabbling, as I don’t fully understand the gold market!
Ok so you're talking about bullion - Wattie is the expert on this.

I need to make it clear that I'm looking at something totally different, and with a different purpose (trading). I'm long-term very bullish gold, and am waiting for the right time to buy as a trade rather than a long-term investment ...
 

Froddy

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1,072
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Froddy

Member
Messages
1,072
Ok so you're talking about bullion - Wattie is the expert on this.

I need to make it clear that I'm looking at something totally different, and with a different purpose (trading). I'm long-term very bullish gold, and am waiting for the right time to buy as a trade rather than a long-term investment ...
This has just popped up on my news feed - it's quite a good read:
https://www.fxempire.com/forecasts/article/detailed-2020-2021-price-forecasts-for-gold-silver-666589
 
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Wattie

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8,640
Rumours abound that the Oz Govt has signed a multi million deal with Astra Zeneca securing "vaccine" if one is developed.
How will its share price react?
 
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Froddy

Member
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1,072
Full steam ahead for gold (spot), chaps (this is not advice, obvs).

Clear second breach of the broadening formation so I will need to re-draw the trendlines:

8EMA (orange line) on the daily chart is cleared, so the uptrend has resumed:

We now have full time-frame continuity (i.e. monthly, weekly and daily charts all green) ...

And, significantly, we have an inside (indecision) day continuation (circled), meaning that the indecision has been resolved to the upside:

This is what I'm seeing now on the 4hr chart (could be wrong):
 
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Delmonte

Member
Messages
878
Gold - and even worse silver - just shat themselves.... my longs are all still open but looking dodgy.... had to throw a few grand into the spread bet account to be secure from margin calls.... ( don’t use SLs) Am convinced they will rise again and quickly, but curious to know how low do we think they can go short term...?
 

Wattie

Member
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8,640
Down about 0.5%..
$1850? $25.
Honestly, who knows. They’re down on $ strength mainly (which is a joke).
Stocks are massively overvalued and are due a correction.
Gold/silver will sell off to cover margins if that happens.
 
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Froddy

Member
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1,072
Gold - and even worse silver - just shat themselves.... my longs are all still open but looking dodgy.... had to throw a few grand into the spread bet account to be secure from margin calls.... ( don’t use SLs) Am convinced they will rise again and quickly, but curious to know how low do we think they can go short term...?
Gold (spot) has broken back through the 8EMA on the daily chart (that yellow line I keep talking about), meaning that it no longer has full time-frame continuity (i.e. monthly, weekly and daily all green).

Interestingly, it has formed a fresh volatility squeeze over the last two days. These typically lead to large price moves but we don't know which way the squeeze will fire (see below):

As regards how low we may go short-term, the 4 hour broadening formation chart I posted a few days ago remains true:

It's important to have an exit plan if you don't set stops - mine were hit and I'm back in "wait and see" mode. We can't impose our will on the market.

As Wattie says, if there are margin calls, everything (including the metals) will be sold hard. There will then be the mother of all bounces.

The dollar is also perfectly respecting the broadening formation I posted some time ago. But note that this has TODAY entered a fresh squeeze.

Buckle up!
 

Froddy

Member
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1,072
Mentioned this a while back.......how to distort the indexes.

Too right, Wattie - it's ridiculous how the indices do NOT represent the wider stock market - due to weighting of the tech big boys.

Looking at the tech index in its own right, there's huge exhaustion risk.

Will there be a throwover, will it continue, or will it crash?? I really don't know ...

Weekly chart of the QQQ (Nasdaq):

https://www.tradingview.com/x/Jym548td/

Half daily chart of Apple - alarm bells max, short-term:
https://www.tradingview.com/x/6xsFCQwQ/

Or the bigger picture:

 
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Wattie

Member
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8,640
Too right, Wattie - it's ridiculous how the indices do NOT represent the wider stock market - due to weighting of the tech big boys.

Looking at the tech index in its own right, there's huge exhaustion risk.

Will there be a throwover, will it continue, or will it crash?? I really don't know ...

Weekly chart of the QQQ (Nasdaq):

https://www.tradingview.com/x/Jym548td/

Half daily chart of Apple - alarm bells max, short-term:
https://www.tradingview.com/x/6xsFCQwQ/

Or the bigger picture:


 

Delmonte

Member
Messages
878
@Delmonte there MAY be a broadening formation within a broadening formation on gold (spot), with upside potential, on the 4 hour chart:

In plain English, there MAY be a bounce early next week if you are still holding your gold (spot) positions - can't say it will happen ...

Oh yeah I’m holding the longs alright or at least most of them. Waiting for the big move up... Have some concurrent to trade, which has worked nicely recently. Just trying to remember it’s leveraged and not to over trade, need to leave enough spare cash in there to not get caught with pants down if there’s a really heavy drop...
So if we get a bounce, hopefully I can cash some out and keep the longer termers. Ta for the prediction :urock: