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nigw

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904
Remember, I’m into crypto and the market is on the floor at the moment. I’m holding though, as it’s all manipulation so that the institutions, who left it too late, can get a decent entry point. Crypto is an open ledger so you can see exactly who is buying, who is selling and who is holding. The big guys are just trying (successfully) to scare retail investors out of the market

Out of interest, where did you find this perspective/background? I’m also 40% down and hodling!
 

stindig

Member
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450
Out of interest, where did you find this perspective/background? I’m also 40% down and hodling!
Watch any of the mainstream YouTube crypto channels. Some have really good insight into this. Have you wondered why Elon suddenly went off Bitcoin just 3 weeks after announcing that he was accepting it as payment for Tesla’s? Blackrock are his 3rd biggest investor and missed the boat on Bitcoin. It could be a coincidence…
 

Froddy

Member
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1,072
Remember, I’m into crypto and the market is on the floor at the moment. I’m holding though, as it’s all manipulation so that the institutions, who left it too late, can get a decent entry point. Crypto is an open ledger so you can see exactly who is buying, who is selling and who is holding. The big guys are just trying (successfully) to scare retail investors out of the market
Crypto is certainly on its knees as things stand, unfortunately. Below is the daily Bitcoin/USD chart reflecting some fairly deep (short-term) technical weakness which must be overcome if there's to be any improvement. Don't think I've shown this type of chart to you guys before.

It has some different indicators, namely the VMA (variable moving average), ATR (average true range), OBV (on balance volume), ADX (average directional movement index) and DMI (directional movement index).


This really gets into the guts of what’s going on under the surface AS OF TODAY. Hopefully it makes sense!
 
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breezer

Member
Messages
229
Remember, I’m into crypto and the market is on the floor at the moment. I’m holding though, as it’s all manipulation so that the institutions, who left it too late, can get a decent entry point. Crypto is an open ledger so you can see exactly who is buying, who is selling and who is holding. The big guys are just trying (successfully) to scare retail investors out of the market
You have to be really careful when telling yourself stories like this in investment markets. Certainty and confidence are the enemy. Especially when you’ve made a nice narrative about a powerful enemy against a plucky good guy. Stories get you into all sorts of trouble when applied to investing.
 

stindig

Member
Messages
450
You have to be really careful when telling yourself stories like this in investment markets. Certainty and confidence are the enemy. Especially when you’ve made a nice narrative about a powerful enemy against a plucky good guy. Stories get you into all sorts of trouble when applied to investing.
I completely agree, and I do think when you look at the market cap of some yet-to-be-fully functional coins, and see that they are higher than eg Vodafone, things may be overblown. It will be interesting to revisit this in a year.
 

nigw

Member
Messages
904
Hi Contigo, I can’t find CMRS. By THR do you mean Thermon Holdings or Thor Mining? The former has a P:E ratio over 400, so I’m guessing the latter?

:oops: Thor is down another 27% since last week, and over 11% down today!
 

Froddy

Member
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1,072
Interesting!

The markets plot the emotions of their participants, and “the crowd” is emotional.

Huge volume at the Bitcoin low today - is this “capitulation” at the the low?? If so, this is where “the crowd” is left crying as they capitulate by selling (and then they watch price rally without them).

4 hour chart here:
https://www.tradingview.com/x/CDdHPHNR/
 

stindig

Member
Messages
450
Bought a bit more BTC at this level. Sold all of my small altcoins a few weeks ago and converted to BTC. Still holding some Cardano, Solana, Polkadot, Aave, Chainlink and Algorand. Planning to jump on early IDOs and sell profits into stable coins for a while.
 

Wattie

Member
Messages
8,640
Bought a bit more BTC at this level. Sold all of my small altcoins a few weeks ago and converted to BTC. Still holding some Cardano, Solana, Polkadot, Aave, Chainlink and Algorand. Planning to jump on early IDOs and sell profits into stable coins for a while.
Have u lost faith in Cardano…..u were extolling it’s virtues?
 

stindig

Member
Messages
450
Have u lost faith in Cardano…..u were extolling it’s virtues?
I haven’t lost faith one bit. It’s technically the best crypto project and, although it has been live for several years, the full functionality with smart contracts is only due to launch in August this year. This will allow DeFi, NFTs and everything else, with transaction fees at a tiny fraction of Ethereum’s, and far superior speed and scalability.
 

Froddy

Member
Messages
1,072
Chaps,

If you’re tempted to go long Facebook, first consider Zuckerberg’s insider dealings - judging by his relentless and methodical sale of shares, he doesn’t appear to have much confidence at the moment!

View attachment 85019
And still he sells every day without fail! Now selling $26m worth per day …

He still owns 1.9m shares.

87221
 

Froddy

Member
Messages
1,072
Chaps,

IFF (not a typo) seasonality is a key part of your strategy, then this week looks promising for the S&P and the Nasdaq, with an 80% probability of higher prices (data from the last 10 years). Note, however, that last week was totally inconsistent(!)

S&P:

87367
Nasdaq:
87366
 
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Froddy

Member
Messages
1,072
Tough markets right now.
I agree. I'm holding only 2 bullish swing trades at the moment (Starbucks and Unilever).

I'm daytrading the rest as, when the market is this extended, it's too risky to buy and hold too much.

Strategy is to enter if price crosses the 9EMA on the 4 hour chart, and to exit when it crosses the 9EMA on the 10 min chart. There are more nuances, obvs, but the entry filter is the 4 hour chart. Example below from today:

Entry

Exit: