Firstly I hope no-one here is affected by the terrible weather the Uk has been experiencing. It looks truly awful.
Whilst I admire your scientific approach to things my gut feeling approach is far simpler.
If 50-60000 Chinese are being tested each day for the virus (not a big %of 400,000,000) But Chinese labs running at max capability can only process, say 20000 per day, then the virus infection rate will never increase more than 20,000 per day. In the meantime the backlog of cases is piling up and those potentially infected are returning to their families to await the results.
This backlog is getting bigger and bigger and those awaiting results could be infecting other family members in the meantime! Look at the infection rates on those ships......look at those tower block communities in China!
Nine members of a Hong Kong family were infected with the deadly coronavirus after sharing a hot pot meal, a large pot of boiling broth in which diners typically add meat and vegetables.
www.foxnews.com
Those displaying symptoms in China then become human cattle, look at the facilities they’re being treated in, dwindling supplies, rows and rows of beds, inadequate numbers of exhausted medical staff, surrounded by other patients with the disease in a medical system swamped by the infection. They are in beds praying ying they don’t die!
In the Uk Two doctors treat say 20 patients a day, (infected for how long before discovery?) the doctors/patients go home to their families, kids, who go to school /work and who interact with friends/ colleagues and they then interact with others who interact with others and on and on and on..........
Dominos. The Uk may already have hundreds of infected right now. We’ll find out in around 14 days and then the cat is well and truly out the bag (sorry for introducing cats)
The NHS is heavily criticised now....where earth would it treat 1000, 2000, 10,000 cases?
There is no logical way the Chinese data is accurate.
ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
www.zerohedge.com
You do not lock down 400 million for less than a 1000 deaths.
Referring to your “sense of perspective” remark above that action seems totally out of perspective.....unless they know something they are not disclosing!!
The WHO knows how bad this is but is using subtle language.They have been woefully inept before.
Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said that “we may only be seeing the tip of the iceberg” of coronavirus, which has killed 908 in China.
nymag.com
I’ll keep getting the info on CV I value here. I know governments are acting incorrectly given the basic knowledge of the virus.....available to all. The Uk govt for example is advising individuals to self isolate even though they cannot possibly know if they are infected for up to 14 days!...they’ve been carrying on as normal and then fall ill! Ridiculous.
www.zerohedge.com
Unfortunately, nothing Western Governments are doing now will contain this. Thus the panic in tracing an increasing number of targets and the targets they’ve contacted will go on ad infinitum unless they change something.
I noticed there are now 3 confirmed Indian cases.........