Shares to watch

lozcb

lozcb

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12,536
Delmonte said:
Given that every economy seems f---ed, the US more than others, why do you think the quid will weaken against it? Or against others? Isn't the primacy of the $ coming to an end?

I get the UK is knackered, but really more than the EU or US?

What's your thinking on that Wattster?
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Buggger me delmonte you wanna be really depressed , fer fecks sake you can't go asking wattie questions like that
 
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Rwc13

Rwc13

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1,668
Wattie said:
So Hilarious it was published on April fools day.

Healthcare strategist......can someone show me where in her report she refers to the massive amounts of debt created by the Fed to buy everything or the underlying debt owed by 26million that now find themselves unemployed in the Us -alone.
Nope not there.
When you need your car serviced do you take it to a dentist?

On 4th Feb she said “However, we don't assume any significant long-term financial impact from the outbreak”

Well done Karen, nice try.
Wrong
View attachment 69025
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Well that’s a surprise! You tear down any analysis that differs from yours/Zerohedge’s. Indeed, any analysis that doesn’t predict the value decimation of all asset classes except precious metals. I wonder why........

I see you omitted to mention Karen was a co-author alongside an equity analyst.

In my view, their predicted outcome is a **** of lot more likely than yours. Time will tell......
 
Froddy

Froddy

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1,072
Chaps,

I have no idea what's going to happen with gold (and nobody does), but here's what I'm seeing from a purely technical perspective.

Short-term, gold is overbought. On the daily chart, there's a real danger of a sharp decline. Why? Because it's in a rising wedge pattern with bearish RSI divergence:

Watch that ascending trendline closely - if it fails to hold, gold will lose its short-term bullish outlook. The wedge is nearing completion so expect action very soon.

Longer-term, on the 4 month chart, gold is in the process of forming a rounded bottom pattern which, if it completes, is extremely bullish. That pattern is fortified by a bullish volatility squeeze which, again (and of itself), is extremely bullish. To complete the pattern, the 4 month candle would have to close above the September 2011 high of 1920.94:

So the question is: can gold make it beyond 1920.94 without breaking down? It may yet tease us all if/when it gets there by forming a "cup and handle pattern" at that point (a bullish pattern too):

I cannot say what the most probable future scenario is - I can only say what I see.
 
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Wattie

Wattie

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8,640
Rwc13 said:
Well that’s a surprise! You tear down any analysis that differs from yours/Zerohedge’s. Indeed, any analysis that doesn’t predict the value decimation of all asset classes except precious metals. I wonder why........

I see you omitted to mention Karen was a co-author alongside an equity analyst.

In my view, their predicted outcome is a **** of lot more likely than yours. Time will tell......
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:lol2:
The decimation of other asset classes is only being delayed by constant and HUGE central bank intervention. In terms of “true price discovery” that decimation has already taken place.
Surely you can see that.
Anyone invested in this market on a “long basis” is hanging their hat on successful central bank manipulation- forever. That’s fine if they get it right.

If the Fed and other Central banks hadn’t intervened the entire bond and stock market would have collapsed into the financial Abys about a month ago.

You ( and many analysts/ “experts”) seem unable to comprehend that reality and fundamentals are totally dislocated from today’s “rigged markets”.

I’m gonna call out BS analysis that ignores the obvious- I note you ignored the debt and unemployment woes question, just like they did.

Re precious metals, this thread is for people interested in making money. Funnily enough precious metals have done just that which is why I will continue to tout them here.

69053

Despite my beliefs on where these markets are headed you’ll find my share and fx tips I’ve posted on previous pages (like others).
They’ve made money as well.
 
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Delmonte

Delmonte

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878
Wattie can I ask your best tip for a goldminer, for a long term bet (6-12 months plus) in a Pension, please
 
Wattie

Wattie

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8,640
I think a mutual fund is a good option as it’ll give you exposure to a group....rather than putting your eggs in one basket. Risk diversified.


mutualfunds.com

MutualFunds.com

Precious Metals Industry Equity Funds and ETFs are mutual funds that focus on the various mining stocks in the gold, silver, platinum and palladium industries. These funds are typically global in nature, holding stocks domiciled in the U.S. and abroad. Th
mutualfunds.com mutualfunds.com

Sort by the highest Ytd return. Hopefully you can access one on there.
 
Rwc13

Rwc13

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1,668
Wattie said:
:lol2:
The decimation of other asset classes is only being delayed by constant and HUGE central bank intervention. In terms of “true price discovery” that decimation has already taken place.
Surely you can see that.
Anyone invested in this market on a “long basis” is hanging their hat on successful central bank manipulation- forever. That’s fine if they get it right.

If the Fed and other Central banks hadn’t intervened the entire bond and stock market would have collapsed into the financial Abys about a month ago.

You ( and many analysts/ “experts”) seem unable to comprehend that reality and fundamentals are totally dislocated from today’s “rigged markets”.

I’m gonna call out BS analysis that ignores the obvious- I note you ignored the debt and unemployment woes question, just like they did.

Re precious metals, this thread is for people interested in making money. Funnily enough precious metals have done just that which is why I will continue to tout them here.

View attachment 69053

Are you Daniel Ivandjiiski in disguise?
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dgmx5

dgmx5

Member
Messages
1,142
I thought I would ask some questions that others may be better placed to answer:

a. why do some shares have such big differences in their buy and sell price? If I felt a share was particularly good value, it would not stop me purchasing and if a bear investment it probably is of little relevance in the long term if the target price is reached, but it does mean that your 'balance sheet' looks pretty poor when you buy and are are instantly looking at a 5-10% drop simply because the sell price is that much lower even when the share price has not moved at all;
b. how much influence do market makers have on share price?;
c. what do people consider the best way of buying shares in an exchange in another country? Do you trade from here (e.g. from your HL ISA account) and simply ignore the noise of forex effects by focusing on the net gain/loss showing in your account or do you set up accounts in those countries and purchase foreign currency and trade there, only incurring forex commission when you bring money 'back' to the UK?

Also, as a general comment I am surprised at the 'tips' being shared on the internet (not here I add) where the share price has already recovered to its pre-Covid-19 price. To my mind these shares (with exception of pharma/biotech shares which may still get a significant increase from any Covid-19 therapies) do not offer great value at a time when the market is still overheated.

Examples would be:

US:

AMZN - I can see they will do well this year but unless you are already in, is there really significant further growth to be had or would you buy for the dividend?
TSLA - back to the early March level (February's price was superheated and there had been a considerable softening prior to the Covid-19 crash on/around 16 March)
AAPL - at 87% of the all time high in February

UK:

BOO - at 83% of the all time high in February
OCDO - at 97% of the all time high
JET - how high can this go?
 
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Delmonte

Delmonte

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Messages
878
dgmx5 said:
I thought I would ask some questions that others may be better placed to answer:

a. why do some shares have such big differences in their buy and sell price? If I felt a share was particularly good value, it would not stop me purchasing and if a bear investment it probably is of little relevance in the long term if the target price is reached, but it does mean that your 'balance sheet' looks pretty poor when you buy and are are instantly looking at a 5-10% drop simply because the sell price is that much lower even when the share price has not moved at all;
b. how much influence do market makers have on share price?;
c. what do people consider the best way of buying shares in an exchange in another country? Do you trade from here (e.g. from your HL ISA account) and simply ignore the noise of forex effects by focusing on the net gain/loss showing in your account or do you set up accounts in those countries and purchase foreign currency and trade there, only incurring forex commission when you bring money 'back' to the UK?

Also, as a general comment I am surprised at the 'tips' being shared on the internet (not here I add) where the share price has already recovered to its pre-Covid-19 price. To my mind these shares (with exception of pharma/biotech shares which may still get a significant increase from any Covid-19 therapies) do not offer great value at a time when the market is still overheated.

Examples would be:

US:

AMZN - I can see they will do well this year but unless you are already in, is there really significant further growth to be had or would you buy for the dividend?
TSLA - back to the early March level (February's price was superheated and there had been a considerable softening prior to the Covid-19 crash on/around 16 March)
AAPL - at 87% of the all time high in February

UK:

BOO - at 83% of the all time high in February
OCDO - at 97% of the all time high
JET - how high can this go?
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Hi m8

I can't answer your a, b, c questions, just don't know the answers sorry.
I can give 2p worth on those shares you mention. I wouldn't go near any at the moment. Apple as you say far too toppy. Amazon one of the biggest players in the world, I just expect it to suffer with general market decline (which I also expect).
Tesla an interesting one... Very expensive stock based purely on speculation, it needs to be remembered its a manufacturing company that has never made a profit... It looks very emperors new clothes to me. I just don't know how far speculation and expectation can prop it up.
But then again... The market has lost all sense of reality now.
 
Bladerunner

Bladerunner

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Messages
440
dgmx5 said:
I thought I would ask some questions that others may be better placed to answer:

a. why do some shares have such big differences in their buy and sell price? If I felt a share was particularly good value, it would not stop me purchasing and if a bear investment it probably is of little relevance in the long term if the target price is reached, but it does mean that your 'balance sheet' looks pretty poor when you buy and are are instantly looking at a 5-10% drop simply because the sell price is that much lower even when the share price has not moved at all;
b. how much influence do market makers have on share price?;
c. what do people consider the best way of buying shares in an exchange in another country? Do you trade from here (e.g. from your HL ISA account) and simply ignore the noise of forex effects by focusing on the net gain/loss showing in your account or do you set up accounts in those countries and purchase foreign currency and trade there, only incurring forex commission when you bring money 'back' to the UK?

Also, as a general comment I am surprised at the 'tips' being shared on the internet (not here I add) where the share price has already recovered to its pre-Covid-19 price. To my mind these shares (with exception of pharma/biotech shares which may still get a significant increase from any Covid-19 therapies) do not offer great value at a time when the market is still overheated.

Examples would be:

US:

AMZN - I can see they will do well this year but unless you are already in, is there really significant further growth to be had or would you buy for the dividend?
TSLA - back to the early March level (February's price was superheated and there had been a considerable softening prior to the Covid-19 crash on/around 16 March)
AAPL - at 87% of the all time high in February

UK:

BOO - at 83% of the all time high in February
OCDO - at 97% of the all time high
JET - how high can this go?
Click to expand...

Answer to A is that it’s purely extra commission...no different to currency conversion, you always get less back than the rate you can buy at
 
Froddy

Froddy

Member
Messages
1,072
dgmx5 said:
I thought I would ask some questions that others may be better placed to answer:

a. why do some shares have such big differences in their buy and sell price? If I felt a share was particularly good value, it would not stop me purchasing and if a bear investment it probably is of little relevance in the long term if the target price is reached, but it does mean that your 'balance sheet' looks pretty poor when you buy and are are instantly looking at a 5-10% drop simply because the sell price is that much lower even when the share price has not moved at all;
b. how much influence do market makers have on share price?;
c. what do people consider the best way of buying shares in an exchange in another country? Do you trade from here (e.g. from your HL ISA account) and simply ignore the noise of forex effects by focusing on the net gain/loss showing in your account or do you set up accounts in those countries and purchase foreign currency and trade there, only incurring forex commission when you bring money 'back' to the UK?

Also, as a general comment I am surprised at the 'tips' being shared on the internet (not here I add) where the share price has already recovered to its pre-Covid-19 price. To my mind these shares (with exception of pharma/biotech shares which may still get a significant increase from any Covid-19 therapies) do not offer great value at a time when the market is still overheated.

Examples would be:

US:

AMZN - I can see they will do well this year but unless you are already in, is there really significant further growth to be had or would you buy for the dividend?
TSLA - back to the early March level (February's price was superheated and there had been a considerable softening prior to the Covid-19 crash on/around 16 March)
AAPL - at 87% of the all time high in February

UK:

BOO - at 83% of the all time high in February
OCDO - at 97% of the all time high
JET - how high can this go?
Click to expand...
BladeRunner is right that the answer to (a) is commission aka "the spread".

As regards (b), this is complex, and we really need MaseratiGent to explain this as he is/was a professional trader. I'm not sure what you mean when you say "market maker": do you mean broker or large institution (i.e.Big Money)? If the former, I have no idea; if the latter, their influence is enormous - basically, they are the market. Retail traders (you and me) provide the liquidity for their enormous profits. This is a really good presentation to watch:

As regards (c), my personal setup is that I have two CFD (forex) accounts with FXPro: one account runs a forex robot, and the other is a discretionary trading account; I then have a US options (derivatives) trading account - I trade the US equity markets in USD, and the GBP value of the account varies according to the exchange rate. I'm not entirely sure why I ended up US-based but I suspect it's where my education journey took me in the end, and the choice of education and trading platforms/tools seemed much more accessible in the US.

As regards "tips", this is where you have to be careful: I've learned the hard way that the retail trading sector is full of sharks and charlatans. I don't know how you intend to play the markets: are you a trader, or an investor? The disciplines are very different. I think most people here are investors, looking at the "bigger picture" and the longer-term outcome. I'm very much the former, typically in any one trade for no more than a month or so. So you might see me suggesting that the underlying has reached a take profit point, or that there's a risk of a short-term fall, when others are prepared to sit out those moves.
 
Wattie

Wattie

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8,640
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dgmx5

dgmx5

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1,142
Sorry for not making some of the questions clearer:

a. why is the spread so much wider on some shares than others? NCYT is near 5% currently whereas RDSB has a very small spread in comparison. Is it due to volumes? What/who is driving the spread?

b. I was meaning more brokers on some of the riskier suggestions we have had on here like EUZ.
 
Bladerunner

Bladerunner

Member
Messages
440
A: This is all down to the perceived volatility/risk of that particular company...NCYT (and its wild moves up and down in recent weeks) will carry a larger spread because the movement is more volatile...also a good reason for the broker to take a larger margin when individuals buy/sell.

The broker would set the the spread, no different to bureau de change offering different rates depending on who you go with.
 
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