Well that’s quite insulting- even though I’m correct.
Markmas you’re normally on point. Not in this case.
if you class my misinformation and fear mongering as exposing the flaws in the current system checks - that’s fine.
Two medical staff, went on hols, with a guy that had been temp tested on his various travels. They themselves were presumably temp tested and returned to work...infecting how many?
Useless temp tests!
I’m glad they only interacted with a handful....says who? You’ve no idea who they interacted with and with who they interacted with.....why has your diagram stopped with the dozen that they interacted with..it should go on and on....there could be hundreds more on it.
Glad you think it’s a piece of cake. Perhaps you can start baking some for the hundreds of cases the Uk will have in a week or so.
You are right that someone with the virus can certainly pass it on before anyone realises that is what they have. This is totally normal with many infectious diseases. Temperature tests are not perfect, but they are very useful, in that they can detect people who have an infection fairly early, but they are not going to catch the very earliest stages of infection-and-transmission, it's true.
The NHS says that these two doctors only interacted closely with a few patients (I think one doctor only saw 1 patient and the other saw 8, but I may be wrong about that). And I choose to believe this because I know how much record-keeping gets done, and tend to generally believe reputable organisations. They will also have interacted with other non-patients, and doubtless tried to make a list of most of these people. Now,
of course they may have interacted with and infected various other people, and
of course it may have not been possible to track and isolate them all, and
of course some of those people might become ill. That is literally how infectious diseases work. But what you do to manage an outbreak like this is try to contain as many infections as you can as fast as you can, even though some will almost certainly get away from you. In this way the spread is
slowed (it may still be a spread and still might be more rapid than you want, but you aim to stop it being exponential). This way, you buy time for treatment facilities to not be overwhelmed and for the vaccine-creators to make progress.
So the UK may indeed have hundreds of cases in a week or so. But that is better than many thousands, due to the sensible work of health professionals. And maybe (and these are very speculative estimates) this means there will be only 2,000-200,000 cases by the end of the year rather than, say, 1-5m, which implies maybe 20-5,000 deaths (compared with 600-13,000 per year from normal flu annually).